ARIZONA: The Economic and Policy Impact of Project 2025

ARIZONA: The Economic and Policy Impact of Project 2025
Project 2025 could raise taxes, cut veterans' care, eliminate teaching jobs, and increase student loan payments for Arizona families. Impact is widespread.

Project 2025, spearheaded by the Heritage Foundation alongside former Trump administration officials and MAGA allies, represents a bold initiative aiming to reshape the federal government. This plan seeks to centralize executive power and install a network of loyal personnel across key agencies

For families in Arizona, the potential impacts are vast, touching critical areas such as veterans’ services, women’s health, environmental protections, justice and voting rights, and education. If implemented, it could significantly alter the support systems that many rely on, sparking widespread concern about the future of government services and resources.

Here are some specific impacts that Arizona families might experience if Project 2025 is enacted:

  • A typical family of four will see a tax increase of $2,720 per year and increase of annual energy costs by $360/year over the next 10 years.
  • Limits and caps proposed on Medicaid benefits could cause 458,700 Medicaid enrollees to lose coverage and would raise the costs of prescription drugs for up to 388,850 people.
  • Ending Title I would lead to the loss of 4,295 teaching positions, which serve 97,931 students in Arizona.
  • By replacing Student Loan income-driven repayment plans with a “one-size-fits-all” program, Project 2025 will increase payments for more than 148,000 borrowers in Arizona by $2,700 to $4,100 per year.
  • Eliminating Head Start will remove no-cost child care and other services for approximately 16,285 low-income children.
  • 981,000 women in Arizona would lose guaranteed access to free emergency contraception.
  • Veterans in Arizona would have longer wait times, reduced access to care and lower quality of services if Project 2025 eliminates funding for the VA.  Arizona is home to more than 625,000 veterans and service members.  
  • Arizona has almost 35,000 federal civilian employees whose jobs could be at risk if plans to replace civil service jobs with political appointees are enacted. The federal government is the largest employer of veterans in the country, with approximately one in four federal employees being veterans.  
  • Eliminating the investments in manufacturing and clean energy jobs would result in a loss of nearly 25,000 jobs over the next 10 years in Arizona.
  • Eliminating Essential Air Services will disproportionately disadvantage Arizona families in rural and smaller communities if airlines are allowed to eliminate flights in and out of those markets.  

Resources on Project 2025 Impact in Arizona

Economy, Health and Education

Veterans 

Clean Energy and Manufacturing Jobs

Essential Air Services

Prescription Drugs

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